新增訂單銳減 NMI創下新低紀錄

新增訂單銳減 NMI創下新低紀錄 – 中時電子報

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新增訂單銳減 NMI創下新低紀錄

2015年07月03日 04:10
中國時報 黃天如/台北報導

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6月製造業採購經理人(PMI)及非製造業經理人指數(NMI)

中華經濟研究院昨公布6月製造業採購經理人指數(PMI)及非製造業經理人指數(NMI),雖兩者仍呈擴張,但與前月相較,卻出現「雙降」;所幸PMI經季調後稍有翻揚,NMI則因下跌了4.3個百分點,創下去年指數創編以來最大跌幅。中經院長吳中書認為,從人力雇用及經理人對未來展望的指數看來,下半年景氣可望從「趨緩」變為「趨穩」。

新增訂單銳減 NMI創下新低紀錄 - 中時電子報

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新增訂單銳減 NMI創下新低紀錄

2015年07月03日 04:10
中國時報 黃天如/台北報導

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2/10

6月製造業採購經理人(PMI)及非製造業經理人指數(NMI)

中華經濟研究院昨公布6月製造業採購經理人指數(PMI)及非製造業經理人指數(NMI),雖兩者仍呈擴張,但與前月相較,卻出現「雙降」;所幸PMI經季調後稍有翻揚,NMI則因下跌了4.3個百分點,創下去年指數創編以來最大跌幅。中經院長吳中書認為,從人力雇用及經理人對未來展望的指數看來,下半年景氣可望從「趨緩」變為「趨穩」。

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吳中書分析,NMI指數大幅下跌,主要受新增訂單大幅下滑10.2個百分點影響,批發零售業也因母親節檔期表現不如預期而下滑,「但因業者對下半年乃至於明年景氣抱持期待,故人力雇用指數持續上揚,且已連續11個月呈現擴張。」6月PMI的5項組成指標「3升2降」,其中生產指數52.3%雖擴張,但較前月下降1.2個百分點,且連續3個月呈下滑趨勢;在現有原物料存貨部分,不但較前月跌4.1個百分點,整體指數49.4%,是繼過去連續5個月擴張之後,首度轉為緊縮,「可見國內製造業上半年的營運,確實不太理想。」不過,製造業在人力雇用上依舊不手軟,6月指數52.0%,較前月上升1.0個百分點,且已是連續第4個月呈現擴張。希臘債務問題被視為歐盟經濟最大隱憂,全世界都在看事件發展。吳中書表示,希臘在歐元區的占比只有2%,實質影響有限,但希臘政府若持續以「民粹」操作債務問題,還是要付出可觀的代價。吳中書強調,希臘談判籌碼不多,加上多數人民希望希臘留在歐元區,談來談去都只能在撙節的議題上打轉。更甚者,若希臘脫離歐元區,不但等於放棄最大的經濟挹注來源,也會帶給希臘債權人更大風險,損人不利己。(中國時報),

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